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Oil Price Volatility and its Consequences on the Growth of the Nigerian Economy: An Examination (1970-2010)

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  • Oriakhi D.E
  • Iyoha Daniel Osaze

Abstract

This study examines the consequences of oil price volatility on the growth of the Nigerian economy within the period 1970 to 2010. Using quaterly data and employing the VAR methodology, the study finds that of the six variables employed, oil price volatility impacted directly on real government expenditure, real exchange rate and real import, while impacting on real GDP, real money supply and inflation through other variables, notably real government expenditure. This implies that oil price changes determines government expenditure level, which in turn determines the growth of the Nigerian economy. This result seems to reflect the dominant role of government in Nigeria. Considering the destabilizing effects of oil price fluctuations on economic activity and government spending in Nigeria, the study makes some recommendations. Some of these include; fiscal prudence, reform in budgetary operations, export diversification, revival of the non-oil sector of the economy, accountability and corporate governance.

Suggested Citation

  • Oriakhi D.E & Iyoha Daniel Osaze, 2013. "Oil Price Volatility and its Consequences on the Growth of the Nigerian Economy: An Examination (1970-2010)," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 3(5), pages 683-702.
    • Handle: RePEc:asi:aeafrj:v:3:y:2013:i:5:p:683-702:id:1041
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    Cited by:

    1. Kuang, Hewu & Liang, Yiyan & Zhao, Wenjia & Cai, Jiahong, 2023. "Impact of natural resources and technology on economic development and sustainable environment – Analysis of resources-energy-growth-environment linkages in BRICS," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    2. Musa Foudeh, 2017. "The Long Run Effects of Oil Prices on Economic Growth: The Case of Saudi Arabia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 7(6), pages 171-192.
    3. Ibrahim, Taofik, 2018. "Oil price Fluctuation and Aggregate Output Performance in Nigeria," MPRA Paper 88636, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 12 Apr 2018.
    4. Charles O. Manasseh & Nnenna G. Nwonye & Felicia C. Abada & Ogochukwu Okanya & Anuli R. Ogbuagu & Felicia U. Eze-Dike & Osmond N. Okonkwo & Otene Samson & Okechukwu J. Akamike & John O. Okoh & Peter O, 2022. "Evaluating Oil Price Movement and Revenue Generation in Nigeria during Covid-19 Pandemic: Experience from Pre and Post Era," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(3), pages 57-65, May.
    5. Pazouki, Azadeh & Zhu, Xiaoxian, 2022. "The dynamic impact among oil dependence volatility, the quality of political institutions, and government spending," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    6. Yan, Juan & Haroon, Muhammad, 2023. "Financing efficiency in natural resource markets mobilizing private and public capital for a green recovery," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).

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