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The effects of fiscal policy in a small open transition economy: The case of Croatia

Author

Listed:
  • Milan Deskar-Škrbić

    (Erste & Steiermarksiche Bank, Zagreb, Croatia)

  • Hrvoje Šimović

    (University of Zagreb, Faculty of Economics & Business, Zagreb, Croatia)

  • Tomislav Ćorić

    (University of Zagreb, Faculty of Economics & Business, Zagreb, Croatia)

Abstract

In this paper, we use the structural VAR model to analyse the dynamic effects of (discretionary) fiscal shocks on the economic activity of the private sector in Croatia between 2000 and 2012. Due to the fact that Croatia is a small open transition economy, we assume that shocks of foreign origin can have notable effects on its performance. Therefore, the original Blanchard-Perotti identification method is extended by introducing variables that represent external (foreign) demand shocks. The results show that government spending has a positive and statistically significant effect on private aggregate demand and private consumption, and that net indirect taxes have a negative and statistically significant effect on private consumption and private investment.

Suggested Citation

  • Milan Deskar-Škrbić & Hrvoje Šimović & Tomislav Ćorić, 2014. "The effects of fiscal policy in a small open transition economy: The case of Croatia," Acta Oeconomica, Akadémiai Kiadó, Hungary, vol. 64(supplemen), pages 133-152, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:aka:aoecon:v:64:y:2014:i:supplement1:p:133-152
    Note: This work has been supported in part by the Croatian Science Foundation under the project number IP-2013-11-8174.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Milan Deskar Škrbić & Hrvoje Šimović, 2015. "The size and determinants of fiscal multipliers in Western Balkans: comparing Croatia, Slovenia and Serbia," EFZG Working Papers Series 1510, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb.
    2. Milan Deskar-Škrbić & Hrvoje Šimović, 2017. "The effectiveness of fiscal spending in Croatia, Slovenia and Serbia: the role of trade openness and public debt level," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(3), pages 336-358, July.
    3. Hrvoje Šimović, 2017. "Impact of public debt (un)sustainability on fiscal policy effectiveness in Croatia," EFZG Working Papers Series 1705, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb.
    4. Milan Deskar-Škrbiæ, 2018. "Dynamic effects of fiscal policy in Croatia: confronting New-Keynesian SOE theory with empirics," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 36(1), pages 83-102.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    fiscal policy; small open economy; Croatia; SVAR;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H20 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - General
    • H30 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - General
    • H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General

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