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The size and determinants of fiscal multipliers in Western Balkans: comparing Croatia, Slovenia and Serbia

Author

Listed:
  • Milan Deskar Škrbić

    (Erste & Steiermarkische bank)

  • Hrvoje Šimović

    (Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb)

Abstract

When estimating the size of fiscal multipliers one has to take into consideration various structural characteristics of economies which, directly or indirectly, affect the transmission from government stimuli to economic activity. Thus, in this paper we use a ‘bucket approach’ to determination of the size of fiscal multipliers, which enables us to make presumptions on the size of fiscal multipliers, given the structural characteristics of selected Western Balkan economies – Croatia, Slovenia and Serbia. After this ‘non-empirical’ approach we use structural VAR framework to test our hypothesis derived from the ‘bucket approach’. Our results confirmed the hypotheses on the relative size of the multipliers between these three peer countries, with Croatia having the highest spending multiplier and Slovenia the lowest one.

Suggested Citation

  • Milan Deskar Škrbić & Hrvoje Šimović, 2015. "The size and determinants of fiscal multipliers in Western Balkans: comparing Croatia, Slovenia and Serbia," EFZG Working Papers Series 1510, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb.
    • Handle: RePEc:zag:wpaper:1510
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    Cited by:

    1. World Bank, 2020. "Serbia’s New Growth Agenda," World Bank Publications - Reports 33565, The World Bank Group.
    2. Agata Szymańska, 2018. "Wpływ polityki fiskalnej na PKB w krajach Unii Europejskiej spoza strefy euro," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 3, pages 49-74.
    3. Dragan Tevdovski & Goran Petrevski & Jane Bogoev, 2019. "The effects of macroeconomic policies under fixed exchange rates: A Bayesian VAR analysis," Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(1), pages 2138-2160, January.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    fiscal multipliers; Western Balkans; bucket approach; structural VAR;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • H20 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - General
    • H30 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - General
    • H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General

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