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The costs of Brexit for UK economy

Author

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  • Andrei HREBENCIUC

    (The Bucharest Academy of Economic Studies, Romania)

Abstract

Leaving the EU without a deal in place for future trading agreements would be the worstcase scenario for British economy. In the long-run Brexit is expected to reduce UK living standards due to the declines in trade and foreign direct investments. The British economy will suffer from the losses implied in the export sectors due to the fact that 45% of its exports are destined to EU members. The potential loss of importance for the City of London will generate a fragmented European financial market that will reduce systemic risk. On the other hand, market participants could face a dual regulation on financial markets, increased uncertainties and frictional costs. The plan to design a Capital Market Union will create a strong competition for London, while Frankfurt and Paris are eager to absorb the financial services lost by British economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrei HREBENCIUC, 2017. "The costs of Brexit for UK economy," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(2(611), S), pages 319-327, Summer.
    • Handle: RePEc:agr:journl:v:xxiv:y:2017:i:2(611):p:319-327
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Danielsson, Jon & Macrae, Robert & Micheler, Eva, 2017. "Brexit and systemic risk," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 85124, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. Steven Brakman & Harry Garretsen & Tristan Kohl, 2018. "Consequences of Brexit and options for a ‘Global Britain’," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 97(1), pages 55-72, March.
    3. Andrei HREBENCIUC, 2017. "Banking Union framework and the stability of the European Banking sector," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(1(610), S), pages 291-298, Spring.
    4. Thomas Sampson, 2016. "Four principles for the UK's Brexit trade negotiations," CentrePiece - The magazine for economic performance 489, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    5. Begg, Iain, 2017. "Making sense of the costs and benefits of Brexit: challenges for economists," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 83587, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    6. Iain Begg, 2017. "Making Sense of the Costs and Benefits of Brexit: Challenges for Economists," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 45(3), pages 299-315, September.
    7. Andrei HREBENCIUC, 2017. "Banking Union framework and the stability of the European Banking sector," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(1(610), S), pages 291-298, Spring.
    8. Swati Dhingra & Thomas Sampson, 2017. "Brexit and the UK Economy," CEP Election Analysis Papers 040, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
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    Cited by:

    1. Roșca Vlad I., 2017. "The Europeanisation of Romanian football: What do UEFA country coefficients reveal?," Management & Marketing, Sciendo, vol. 12(4), pages 652-673, December.

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