IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/afj/journl/v12y2010i2p72-92.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Stock Markets, Banks and Economic Growth: Time Series Evidence from South Africa

Author

Listed:
  • Umar Bida Ndako

    (Bayero University, Nigeria)

Abstract

The paper examines the causal relationship between stock market development and economic growth in South Africa while controlling for the effect of banking variable. It applies vector error correction model (VECM), generalized impulse response function (GIRF) and variance decomposition (VDC). In the long-run, the finding suggests evidence of bidirectional causality between financial development and economic growth using bank credit to private sector (BCP). When stock market variables are used, turnover ratio (TR) and value of shares traded (VT); both indicate unidirectional causality from economic growth to stock market development. The generalized Impulse response function and variance decomposition indicate that financial development contains some useful information in predicting the future path of economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Umar Bida Ndako, 2010. "Stock Markets, Banks and Economic Growth: Time Series Evidence from South Africa," The African Finance Journal, Africagrowth Institute, vol. 12(2), pages 72-92.
    • Handle: RePEc:afj:journl:v:12:y:2010:i:2:p:72-92
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.journals.co.za/ej/ejour_finj.html
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Prats Albentosa, María Asuncíon & Sandoval, Beatriz, 2020. "Does stock market capitalization cause GDP? A causality study for Central and Eastern European countries?," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 14, pages 1-29.
    2. Kim, Eun-Hee & Kim, Yeonbae, 2021. "Moving beyond the dichotomy of Hall & Soskice (2001): the State’s Role in economic growth," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 530-548.
    3. Marques, Luís Miguel & Fuinhas, José Alberto & Marques, António Cardoso, 2013. "Does the stock market cause economic growth? Portuguese evidence of economic regime change," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 316-324.
    4. Yeþim Helhel, 2019. "Kýrýlgan Beþli Ülkelerde Hisse Senedi Piyasasý Geliþimi ve Ekonomik Büyüme Ýliþkisi," Isletme ve Iktisat Calismalari Dergisi, Econjournals, vol. 7(1), pages 19-29.
    5. Andrew Phiri, 2017. "Long-run equilibrium adjustment between inflation and stock market returns in South Africa: a nonlinear perspective," International Journal of Sustainable Economy, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 9(1), pages 19-33.
    6. Maku Affor Owen, 2020. "Stock Market Development and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence From an Institutional Impaired Economy," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 11(5), pages 496-509, October.
    7. Onyinye I. Anthony-Orji & Anthony Orji & Jonathan E. Ogbuabor, 2018. "Analysis of Stock Market Development, Foreign Private Investment and Economic Growth in Nigeria," Journal of Infrastructure Development, India Development Foundation, vol. 10(1-2), pages 1-17, June.
    8. Ahmed, Abdullahi D., 2016. "Integration of financial markets, financial development and growth: Is Africa different?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 43-59.
    9. Borlea Sorin Nicolae & Puscas Adriana & Mare Codruta & Achim Monica Violeta, 2016. "Direction of Causality Between Financial Development and Economic Growth. Evidence for Developing Countries," Studia Universitatis „Vasile Goldis” Arad – Economics Series, Sciendo, vol. 26(2), pages 1-22, June.
    10. Ndako, Umar Bida, 2013. "The Day of the Week effect on stock market returns and volatility: Evidence from Nigeria and South Africa," MPRA Paper 48076, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Solarin, Sakiru Adebola & Mahmood, Haider & Arouri, Mohamed, 2013. "Does financial development reduce CO2 emissions in Malaysian economy? A time series analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 145-152.
    12. Marques, Luís Miguel & Fuinhas, José Alberto & Marques, António Cardoso, 2012. "Interação entre o mercado acionista e o crescimento económico: Uma apreciação do caso português (1993-2010) [Interaction between the stock market and economic growth: An assessment of the Portugues," MPRA Paper 39808, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Vector autoregression; Economic growth; Stock markets; Banks;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:afj:journl:v:12:y:2010:i:2:p:72-92. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Kirk De Doncker (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/afrgrza.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.