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Early Unemployment and Subsequent Career Complexity: A Sequence-Based Perspective

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  • Anna Manzoni
  • Irma Mooi-Reci

Abstract

We aim to examine how previous unemployment affects future unemployment and career complexity over the life course. Theory suggests that unemployment triggers negative chains of ‘low-pay-no-pay’ circles. Using longitudinal data on men aged 18-64 from the German Socio-Economic Panel, we employ sequence-based methods to quantify career complexity and dynamic panel models to test our hypotheses about the process of cumulative disadvantage on employment careers for the previously unemployed workers over time. We find that unemployment ‘breeds’ unemployment and increases career complexity over the life course. However, unemployment at older ages leads to much higher career complexity than at younger ages.

Suggested Citation

  • Anna Manzoni & Irma Mooi-Reci, 2011. "Early Unemployment and Subsequent Career Complexity: A Sequence-Based Perspective," Schmollers Jahrbuch : Journal of Applied Social Science Studies / Zeitschrift für Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften, Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, vol. 131(2), pages 339-348.
    • Handle: RePEc:aeq:aeqsjb:v131_y2011_i2_q2_p339-348
    DOI: 10.3790/schm.131.2.339
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Filomena, Mattia & Giorgetti, Isabella & Picchio, Matteo, 2022. "Off to a Bad Start: Youth Nonemployment and Labor Market Outcomes Later in Life," IZA Discussion Papers 15366, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    2. Giudici, Francesco & Morselli, Davide, 2019. "20 Years in the world of work: A study of (nonstandard) occupational trajectories and health," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 224(C), pages 138-148.
    3. Anna Manzoni & Irma Mooi-Reci, 2020. "The cumulative disadvantage of unemployment: Longitudinal evidence across gender and age at first unemployment in Germany," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(6), pages 1-20, June.
    4. Mattia Filomena, 2021. "Unemployment Scarring Effects: A Symposium On Empirical Literature," Working Papers 453, Universita' Politecnica delle Marche (I), Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali.
    5. Collischon, Matthias & Eberl, Andreas & Jahn, Kerstin, 2018. "The effect of compulsory service on life satisfaction and its channels," IAB-Discussion Paper 201824, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    6. Dietrich, Hans, 2015. "Jugendarbeitslosigkeit aus einer europäischen Perspektive : theoretische Ansätze, empirische Konzepte und ausgewählte Befunde," IAB-Discussion Paper 201524, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    7. Hans Dietrich & Joachim Möller, 2016. "Youth unemployment in Europe – business cycle and institutional effects," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 5-25, January.
    8. David Pelletier & Simona Bignami-Van Assche & Anaïs Simard-Gendron, 2020. "Measuring Life Course Complexity with Dynamic Sequence Analysis," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 152(3), pages 1127-1151, December.
    9. Mehfooz Ahmad & Aqeel Khan, 2019. "Loneliness As Predictor Of Depression Among Unemployed," Education, Sustainability & Society (ESS), Zibeline International Publishing, vol. 2(1), pages 12-15, March.
    10. Stuth, Stefan & Jahn, Kerstin, 2020. "Young, successful, precarious? Precariousness at the entry stage of employment careers in Germany," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 23(6), pages 702-725.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
    • J60 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - General
    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search

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