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Housing Supply Dynamics under Rent Control: What Can Evictions Tell Us?

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  • Brian J. Asquith

Abstract

Measuring how rent-controlled landlords change their housing supply in response to rent increases is difficult, because new construction is automatically exempt. This paper explores evictions as a barometer for landlords' willingness to return their units to market when prices increase using San Francisco data. I find no evidence that controlled landlords turnover existing tenants to return their units to market, and some evidence they instead withdraw individual units. I also look at other ways of exiting controls, and find that small landlords are 54 percent more likely to first apply to condo-convert when condo prices rise 5.4 percent.

Suggested Citation

  • Brian J. Asquith, 2019. "Housing Supply Dynamics under Rent Control: What Can Evictions Tell Us?," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 109, pages 393-396, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:aea:apandp:v:109:y:2019:p:393-96
    Note: DOI: 10.1257/pandp.20191025
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    File URL: https://www.aeaweb.org/doi/10.1257/pandp.20191025
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Sebastian Kohl, 2020. "Does Social Policy through Rent Controls Inhibit New Construction? Some Answers from Long-Run Historical Evidence," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1839, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    2. Konstantin A. Kholodilin, 2022. "Rent Control Effects through the Lens of Empirical Research: An almost Complete Review of the Literature," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 2026, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    3. Brian J. Asquith, 2022. "The Effects of an Ellis Act Eviction on Neighborhood Socioeconomic Status," Upjohn Working Papers 22-374, W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research.
    4. Gandhi, Sahil & Green, Richard K. & Patranabis, Shaonlee, 2022. "Insecure property rights and the housing market: Explaining India’s housing vacancy paradox," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    5. Baye, Vera & Dinger, Valeriya, 2022. "Investment Incentives of Rent Controls and Gentrification - Evidence from German Micro Data," VfS Annual Conference 2022 (Basel): Big Data in Economics 264120, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets
    • R38 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Government Policy

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