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Contextual Inference in Markets: On the Informational Content of Product Lines

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Author Info
Emir Kamenica
Abstract

Context can influence decisions. This malleability of choice is usually invoked as evidence that people do not maximize stable preference orderings. In a market equilibrium, however, context conveys payoff-relevant information to consumers. Consequently, these consumers rationally violate naïve formulations of standard choice theoretic principles. I identify informational asymmetries under which apparently anomalous behaviors, namely the compromise effect and choice overload, arise as market equilibria. Firms respond to consumers’ contextual inference; in case of the compromise effect, a firm may introduce premium loss leaders (expensive goods of overly high quality that increase the demand for other goods). (JEL D11, D83, M31)

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1257/aer.98.5.2127
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File URL: http://www.aeaweb.org/articles/article_detail.php?journal=AER&volume=98&issue=5&article=14&issue_date=December2008
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Article provided by American Economic Association in its journal American Economic Review.

Volume (Year): 98 (2008)
Issue (Month): 5 (December)
Pages: 2127-49
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Handle: RePEc:aea:aecrev:v:98:y:2008:i:5:p:2127-49

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  1. Susan Athey & Glenn Ellison, 2009. "Position Auctions with Consumer Search," NBER Working Papers 15253, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Ortoleva, Pietro, 2008. "The Price of Flexibility: Towards a Theory of Thinking Aversion," MPRA Paper 12242, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  3. Jason T. Abaluck & Jonathan Gruber, 2009. "Choice Inconsistencies Among the Elderly: Evidence from Plan Choice in the Medicare Part D Program," NBER Working Papers 14759, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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