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Range Effects and Lottery Pricing

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  • Pavlo R. Blavatskyy
  • Wolfgang R. Köhler
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    Abstract

    A standard method to elicit certainty equivalents is the Becker-DeGroot-Marschak (BDM) procedure. We compare the standard BDM procedure and a BDM procedure with a restricted range of minimum selling prices that an individual can state. We find that elicited prices are systematically affected by the range of feasible minimum selling prices. Expected utility theory cannot explain these results. Non-expected utility theories can only explain the results if subjects consider compound lotteries generated by the BDM procedure. We present an alternative explanation where subjects sequentially compare the lottery to monetary amounts in order to determine their minimum selling price. The model offers a formal explanation for range effects and for the underweighting of small and the overweighting of large probabilities.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - University of Zurich in its series IEW - Working Papers with number 323.

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    Date of creation: Apr 2008
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    Handle: RePEc:zur:iewwpx:323

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    Keywords: Certainty equivalent; experiment; stochastic; Becker-DeGroot-Marschak (BDM) method; elicitation procedure; range effects;

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