How to confuse with statistics or: the use and misuse of conditional probabilities
AbstractThe article shows by various examples how consumers of statistical information may be confused when this information is presented in terms of conditional probabilities. It also shows how this confusion helps others to lie with statistics, and it suggests how either confusion or lies can be avoided by using alternative modes of conveying statistical information. --
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Technische Universität Dortmund, Sonderforschungsbereich 475: Komplexitätsreduktion in multivariaten Datenstrukturen in its series Technical Reports with number 2004,35.
Date of creation: 2004
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- Walter Kraemer & Gerhard Arminger, 2010.
""True Believers" or Numerical Terrorism at the Nuclear Power Plant,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
3180, CESifo Group Munich.
- Walter Krämer & Gerhard Arminger, 2011. "“True Believers” or Numerical Terrorism at the Nuclear Power Plant," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), Justus-Liebig University Giessen, Department of Statistics and Economics, vol. 231(5-6), pages 608-620, November.
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