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Designing a rational sanctioning strategy

Author

Listed:
  • Angeloni, Ignazio
  • Daase, Christopher
  • Deitelhoff, Nicole
  • Goldmann, Matthias
  • Krahnen, Jan Pieter
  • Kroll, Stefan
  • Luft, Carl-Georg Christoph
  • Nölke, Andreas
  • Peez, Anton
  • Pelizzon, Loriana

Abstract

This policy note summarizes our assessment of financial sanctions against Russia. We see an increase in sanctions severity starting from (1) the widely discussed SWIFT exclusions, followed by (2) blocking of correspondent banking relationships with Russian banks, including the Central Bank, alongside secondary sanctions, and (3) a full blacklisting of the 'real' export-import flows underlying the financial transactions. We assess option (1) as being less impactful than often believed yet sending a strong signal of EU unity; option (2) as an effective way to isolate the Russian banking system, particularly if secondary sanctions are in place, to avoid workarounds. Option (3) represents possibly the most effective way to apply economic and financial pressure, interrupting trade relationships.

Suggested Citation

  • Angeloni, Ignazio & Daase, Christopher & Deitelhoff, Nicole & Goldmann, Matthias & Krahnen, Jan Pieter & Kroll, Stefan & Luft, Carl-Georg Christoph & Nölke, Andreas & Peez, Anton & Pelizzon, Loriana, 2022. "Designing a rational sanctioning strategy," SAFE Policy Letters 95, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:safepl:95
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    Cited by:

    1. Pohle, Julia & Voelsen, Daniel, 2022. "Das Netz und die Netze. Vom Wandel des Internets und der globalen digitalen Ordnung [The net and the networks. Transformations of the Internet and the global digital order]," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 32(3), pages 455-487.

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    Keywords

    SWIFT; Russian Sanctions;

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