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Chinas Immobiliensektor: Wie groß ist die Krise?

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Listed:
  • Beer, Sonja

Abstract

Dieser Report analysiert die steigenden Risiken auf dem chinesischen Finanzmarkt und die aktuellen Spannungen auf dem chinesischen Immobilienmarkt. Seit der Einführung der sogenannten drei roten Linien und der Verschärfung der Regelung zu den Kreditaufnahmen für die Unternehmen sind einige hoch verschuldete Immobilienunternehmen in Schwierigkeiten geraten. Die Sorge ist zuweilen groß, dass diese Bankrott gehen könnten und damit der Finanzmarkt Chinas und möglicherweise auch die globalen Finanzmärkte in Mitleidenschaft gezogen werden könnten. Aufgrund verschiedener Faktoren erscheint dieses Szenario wenig wahrscheinlich. Jedoch birgt eine breiter angelegte weitreichende Immobilienkrise das Risiko, das Wirtschaftswachstum Chinas deutlich zu dämpfen und sich somit negativ auf die Weltwirtschaft auszuwirken.

Suggested Citation

  • Beer, Sonja, 2022. "Chinas Immobiliensektor: Wie groß ist die Krise?," IW-Reports 19/2022, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:iwkrep:192022
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    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/256799/1/1801352518.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mr. Fei Han & Ms. Emilia M Jurzyk & Wei Guo & Yun He & Ms. Nadia Rendak, 2019. "Assessing Macro-Financial Risks of Household Debt in China," IMF Working Papers 2019/258, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Kenneth Rogoff & Yuanchen Yang, 2021. "Has China's Housing Production Peaked?," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 29(1), pages 1-31, January.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E66 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General Outlook and Conditions
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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