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Prognose des IfW Kiel und tatsächliche Entwicklung im Jahr 2022

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  • Jannsen, Nils

Abstract

Die Prognosefehler für die Zuwachsrate des Bruttoinlandsprodukts im Jahr 2022 waren seit der vergangenen Frühjahrsprognose recht gering. Lediglich in der Herbst-Prognose lag der Prognosefehler etwas über den durchschnittlich historisch verzeichneten Werten (mittlerer absoluter Prognosefehler des IfW Kiel in der Herbst-Prognose zwischen 1994 und 2022: 0,25 Prozentpunkte). In der ersten Jahreshälfte lag er deutlich unter den mittleren Werten von 0,7 (Frühjahr) bzw. 0,5 Prozentpunkten (Sommer).

Suggested Citation

  • Jannsen, Nils, 2023. "Prognose des IfW Kiel und tatsächliche Entwicklung im Jahr 2022," Kiel Insight 2023.03, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwbox:202303
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    Keywords

    Konjunktur; Konjunktur Deutschland; Deutschland; Arbeitsmarkt;
    All these keywords.

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