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Vaihtotaseen ennakkotietojen arviointi lyhyen aikavälin ennustemenetelmien avulla

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  • Kinnunen, Helvi

Abstract

Tässä selvityksessä on estimoitu lyhyen aikavälin ennustemallit palvelutaseen henkilö- ja tietoliikennemenoille, matkavaluuttatuloille ja -menoille sekä muille palvelutuloille ja -menoille. Näiden vaihtotase-erien tietolähteenä on Suomen Pankin valuuttamaksuaineisto, jossa korjaamattomat tiedot poikkeavat huomattavasti lopullisista. Box-Jenkins-aikasarjamenetelmällä tuotettuja ennusteita voidaan käyttää palvelutaseen kuukausiarvioita laadittaessa.

Suggested Citation

  • Kinnunen, Helvi, 1989. "Vaihtotaseen ennakkotietojen arviointi lyhyen aikavälin ennustemenetelmien avulla," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 12/1989, Bank of Finland.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:bofrdp:rdp1989_012
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