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Zukünftige Entwicklung des Güterverkehrs: Sind Sättigungsgrenzen erkennbar?

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  • Aberle, Gerd

Abstract

Seit Jahrzehnten zeigt der Güterverkehr in Deutschland und in den wichtigsten EU-Staaten ein starkes Wachstum, welches seit einigen Jahren das des Perso-nenverkehrs deutlich übertrifft. Diese Wachstumsdynamik des Güterverkehrs wird kritisch gesehen: Die Kapazitätsengpässe in der Verkehrsinfrastruktur wer-den durch den Güterverkehr nachhaltig verschärft. Die Verteilung der Nachfrage nach Güterverkehrsleistungen auf die einzelnen Verkehrsträger ist sehr unter-schiedlich; eine stark einseitige Ausrichtung auf den Straßenverkehr verschärft dort die Kapazitätsprobleme in besonderem Maße. Vor allem im Straßenverkehr stellt der Gütertransport eine bedeutende Quelle für Umweltbelastungen durch Lärm und Schadstoffe sowie auch CO2-Emissionen dar. Insofern aktualisiert sich die Frage, ob in Zukunft Sättigungsgrenzen, vielleicht sogar Rückbildungseffekte, beim Güterverkehr zu erwarten sind. Dieser Frage wird nachfolgend nachgegangen.

Suggested Citation

  • Aberle, Gerd, 2005. "Zukünftige Entwicklung des Güterverkehrs: Sind Sättigungsgrenzen erkennbar?," Discussion Papers 106, University of Freiburg, Institute for Transport Economics and Regional Policy.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:aluivr:106
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    Cited by:

    1. Knieps, Günter, 2014. "Competition and third party access in railroads," Discussion Papers 150, University of Freiburg, Institute for Transport Economics and Regional Policy.
    2. Knieps, Günter & Zenhäusern, Patrick, 2009. "The reform of the European regulatory framework for electronic communications: The unexploited phasing-out potentials," Discussion Papers 128, University of Freiburg, Institute for Transport Economics and Regional Policy.
    3. Blankart, Charles B. & Knieps, Günter & Zenhäusern, Patrick, 2007. "Regulation of new markets in telecommunications? Market dynamics and shrinking monopolistic bottlenecks," Discussion Papers 112 [rev.], University of Freiburg, Institute for Transport Economics and Regional Policy.
    4. Knieps, Günter & Zenhäusern, Patrick, 2008. "The fallacies of network neutrality regulation," Discussion Papers 115 [rev.], University of Freiburg, Institute for Transport Economics and Regional Policy.
    5. Knieps, Günther, 2010. "Regulatory reforms of European network industries and the courts," Discussion Papers 129 [rev.], University of Freiburg, Institute for Transport Economics and Regional Policy.

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