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The reproduction of base-rates promotes pseudocontingencies

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Author Info
Freytag, Peter (Universität Heidelberg)
Vogel, Tobias (Sonderforschungsbereich 504)
Kutzner, Florian () (Sonderforschungsbereich 504)
Fiedler, Klaus () (Sonderforschungsbereich 504/ Universität Heidelberg)
Abstract

Fiedler and Freytag (2004) proposed an alternative pathway to contingency assessment in terms of pseudocontingencies (PCs). PCs reflect the utilization of base-rate information in the formation of contingency judgments. Here, we introduce an instantiation of the phenomenon based on the mere reproduction of the base rates. Using a relationship-counseling scenario, participants in two experiments produced positive correlations on both indirect and direct measures of the contingency between partners’ responses to the subscales of a relationship inventory, although the objective contingency within each subscale had been negative in an initial learning phase. The magnitude of these effects was predicted accurately by computer simulations reproducing the base rate of ‘yes’ responses for each partner and domain. The findings are discussed within the PC framework.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Sonderforschungsbereich 504, Universität Mannheim & Sonderforschungsbereich 504, University of Mannheim in its series Sonderforschungsbereich 504 Publications with number 08-37.

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Length: 33 pages
Date of creation: 24 Dec 2008
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:xrs:sfbmaa:08-37

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