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What is hidden in the Fed's model? The second approximation

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  • Dmitry Baryshevsky
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    Abstract

    There are a lot of approaches for estimation of the equity market attractiveness. Fed's model has received a wide prevalence. However this model has a number of essential restrictions. In particular the Fed's model uses current earnings yield, which is based on analysts’ estimates of earnings over the coming twelve months. However as it is shown in the article these estimations can play certain role only in the short-term prospect. In the long-term prospect they will reflect real changes in economy that makes their use as parameters for the long-term estimation doubtful enough. In the article the model of alternative investments is offered as one of the ways to evaluate the equity market.

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    File URL: http://128.118.178.162/eps/fin/papers/0308/0308006.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by EconWPA in its series Finance with number 0308006.

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    Length: 11 pages
    Date of creation: 21 Aug 2003
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpfi:0308006

    Note: Type of Document - PDF; prepared on IBM PC; to print on HP/PostScript; pages: 11 ; figures: included. We never published this piece and now we would like to reduce our mailing and xerox cost by posting it.
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    Web page: http://128.118.178.162

    Related research

    Keywords: Fed model; Treasury bond yield; current earnings yield; equity market attractiveness; equity market valuation model; long-term earnings growth; CRB Spot Index yield;

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