A Panel Data Analysis of General Elections Under Multi Party Electoral College
AbstractWe analyze the probability of an incumbents winning in the consecutive election, under the assumption that all individual candidates are equally likely (i.e. random selection) when they are from the same party. We estimate the probability of winning by ruling party. Using Indian panel data from 1967-1999. We find that incumbents have better log-odds if they contest on behalf of national parties , researved seats and with higher polling percentage.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by EconWPA in its series Experimental with number 0304001.
Length: 22 pages
Date of creation: 20 Apr 2003
Date of revision:
Note: Type of Document - pdf; prepared on Suse-Linux PdfLatex; to print on HP/PostScript; pages: 22 ; figures: included.
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electoral system; incumbents; GEE-population averaged model and panel data;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- C25 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions
- N45 - Economic History - - Government, War, Law, International Relations, and Regulation - - - Asia including Middle East
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