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A Panel Data Analysis of General Elections Under Multi Party Electoral College

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Author Info
Jayesh Kumar (Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research)

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Abstract

We analyze the probability of an incumbents winning in the consecutive election, under the assumption that all individual candidates are equally likely (i.e. random selection) when they are from the same party. We estimate the probability of winning by ruling party. Using Indian panel data from 1967-1999. We find that incumbents have better log-odds if they contest on behalf of national parties , researved seats and with higher polling percentage.

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File URL: http://129.3.20.41/eps/exp/papers/0304/0304001.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by EconWPA in its series Experimental with number 0304001.

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Length: 22 pages
Date of creation: 20 Apr 2003
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpex:0304001

Note: Type of Document - pdf; prepared on Suse-Linux PdfLatex; to print on HP/PostScript; pages: 22 ; figures: included.
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Web page: http://129.3.20.41

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Related research
Keywords: electoral system; incumbents; GEE-population averaged model and panel data;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C25 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models
N45 - Economic History - - Government, War, Law, and Regulation - - - Asia including Middle East

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-25.

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