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A Spline Analysis of the Small Firm Effect: Does Size Really Matter?

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Author Info
Joel L. Horowitz (Univ. of Iowa)
Tim Loughran (Univ. of Iowa)
N. E. Savin (Univ. of Iowa)

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Abstract

This paper uses average monthly returns and linear spline regressions to investigate the relation between expected return and firm size during 1980-1994. We find that the average monthly returns are approximately constant across size deciles. The estimated spline regressions vary substantially from year-to-year. Our analysis of the year- by-year estimates suggests that the annual regression function is essentially flat, except possibly for the smallest two deciles. The results are similar for the January and non-January months. Hence, the evidence does not support the prevalent use of size as an explanatory variable for returns during the 1980-1994 period.

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Paper provided by EconWPA in its series Econometrics with number 9608001.

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Length: 40 pages
Date of creation: 15 Aug 1996
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Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpem:9608001

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General
C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
C8 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs

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  1. Fama, Eugene F & French, Kenneth R, 1992. " The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 47(2), pages 427-65, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 1993. "Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 3-56, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Stoll, Hans R. & Whaley, Robert E., 1983. "Transaction costs and the small firm effect," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 57-79, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Reinganum, Marc R., 1981. "Misspecification of capital asset pricing : Empirical anomalies based on earnings' yields and market values," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 19-46, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Banz, Rolf W., 1981. "The relationship between return and market value of common stocks," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 3-18, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Keim, Donald B., 1983. "Size-related anomalies and stock return seasonality : Further empirical evidence," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 13-32, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Fama, Eugene F & French, Kenneth R, 1995. " Size and Book-to-Market Factors in Earnings and Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(1), pages 131-55, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Kothari, S P & Shanken, Jay & Sloan, Richard G, 1995. " Another Look at the Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(1), pages 185-224, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Berk, Jonathan B, 1995. "A Critique of Size-Related Anomalies," Review of Financial Studies, Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies, vol. 8(2), pages 275-86. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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