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Models of Extinction: A Review


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  • M. E. J. Newman
  • R. G. Palmer
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    We review recent work aimed at modelling species extinction over geological time. We discuss a number of models which, rather than dealing with the direct causes of particular extinction events, attempt to predict overall statistical trends, such as the relative frequencies of large and small extinctions, or the distribution of the lifetimes of species, genera or higher taxa. We also describe the available fossil and other data, and compare the trends visible in these data with the predictions of the models.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by Santa Fe Institute in its series Working Papers with number 99-08-061.

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    Date of creation: Aug 1999
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:wop:safiwp:99-08-061

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    Keywords: Extinction; fossil record; paleontology; evolution.;

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:


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    1. Ricard V. Sole & Jordi Bascompte & Susanna C. Manrubia, 1996. "Extinction: Bad Genes or Weak Chaos?," Working Papers 96-07-049, Santa Fe Institute.
    2. Sneppen, Kim, 1995. "Extremal dynamics and punctuated co-evolution," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 221(1), pages 168-179.
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