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Tunisia: Sources of Real Exchange Rate Fluctuations

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  • Sfia Mohamed Daly

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    Abstract

    Using structural VARs identified with long-run restrictions, this paper evaluates the importance of nominal shocks and real disturbances on the Tunisian Dinar during the nineties. The estimated macroeconomic behaviour in response to the shocks identified with a Clarida and Gali–type structural VAR for Tunisia is generally in line with theoretical priors stemming from the Mundell-Fleming model. The structural decomposition shows that relative real demand and supply shocks account for most of the variations in real exchange rate changes during the estimation period and indicates that real disturbances explain about 80% of the variance of the forecast error of the real exchange rate.

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    File URL: http://www.wdi.umich.edu/files/Publications/WorkingPapers/wp880.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan in its series William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series with number wp880.

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    Length: pages
    Date of creation: 01 Mar 2006
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:wdi:papers:2007-880

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    Keywords: Tunisia; real exchange rate; structural VAR;

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    Cited by:
    1. Brixiova, Zuzana & Égert, Balázs & Hadj Amor Essid, Thouraya, 2013. "The Real Exchange Rate and External Competitiveness in Egypt, Morocco and Tunisia," IZA Discussion Papers 7822, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
    2. Zuzana Brixiova & Balázs Égert & Thouraya Hadj Amor Essid, 2013. "Working Paper 187 - The Real Exchange Rate and External Competitiveness in Egypt, Morocco and Tunisia," Working Paper Series, African Development Bank 991, African Development Bank.

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