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How expectations affect reform dynamics in developing countries

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Author Info
Daveri, Francesco

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Abstract

Reform is often flawed by delayed implementation and, after initial acceptance, sudden reversals in public reaction. In recent years, many attribute these delays and reversals to reform dynamics because reform, particularly when comprehensive, rarely takes place all at once. In designing reform, it is important to determine what the best sequencing of reform would be, under what conditions that sequence is feasible, and how expectations will affect the success of alternative reform strategies. In the literature on second-best reform strategies, misperceptions about the prospective costs and benefits of reform add another intertemporal distortion to the many already identified. Bold moves, such as pre-announced institutional changes, are often suggested as a way to signal the beginning of a new policy regime. The author advocates a more cautious approach when a government has been discredited by a history of policy failures.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by The World Bank in its series Policy Research Working Paper Series with number 788.

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Date of creation: 31 Oct 1991
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Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:788

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Related research
Keywords: Environmental Economics&Policies; Macroeconomic Management; Economic Stabilization; Insurance&Risk Mitigation; Economic Theory&Research;

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