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Recent estimates of capital flight

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Author Info
Claessens, Stijn
Naude, David

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Abstract

Researchers and policymakers have in recent years paid considerable attention to the phenomenon of capital flight. Researchers have focused on four questions: What concept should be used to measure capital flight? What figure for capital flight will emerge, using this measure? Can the occurrence and magnitude of capital flight be explained by certain (economic) variables? What policy changes can be useful to reverse capital flight? The authors focus strictly on presenting estimates of capital flight using a number of alternative methodologies. In their discussion of these methodologies, they show that although the approaches to measuring capital flight differ, the identities used in balance of payment data make them close in final measurement. In particular, the so-called World Bank residual and Dooley methods - presented in the past as very different approaches to measuring capital flight - actually produce similar measurements. The authors discuss the data used for calculating capital flight and the adjustment that must be made. They present aggregate capital flight figures using the various measures for 84 developing countries. The figures show a pattern of increasing capital flight until 1988, followed by a return of flight capital between 1989 and 1991. The authors present regional aggregates of capital flight and rank countries and regions by the level of capital flight relative to GDP. They find that capital flight is more widespread than commonly assumed and, relative to GDP, is rather evenly distributed. The capital flight-GDP Lorenz curve is above the 45-degree line, indicating that countries with a smaller GDP have more capital flight than one would expect if it were distributed proportionate to GDP.

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Paper provided by The World Bank in its series Policy Research Working Paper Series with number 1186.

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Date of creation: 30 Sep 1993
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Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:1186

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Related research
Keywords: Economic Theory&Research; Banks&Banking Reform; Settlement of Investment Disputes; International Terrorism&Counterterrorism; Financial Economics;

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  1. Michael P. Dooley & Kenneth M. Kletzer, 1994. "Capital Flight, External Debt and Domestic Policies," NBER Working Papers 4793, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. Bigsten, Arne, 1998. "Can Aid Generate Growth in Africa?," Working Papers in Economics 3, Göteborg University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  3. Islam, Roumeen, 2000. "Should capital flows be regulated? - a look at the issues and policies," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2293, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  4. Lisa M. Schineller, 1997. "A nonlinear econometric analysis of capital flight," International Finance Discussion Papers 594, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
  5. James K. Boyce & Léonce Ndikumana, 2000. "Is Africa a Net Creditor? New Estimates of Capital Flight from Severely Indebted Sub-Saharan African Countries, 1970-1996," Working Papers 2000-01, University of Massachusetts Amherst, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  6. Collier, Paul & Hoeffler, Anke & Pattillo, Catherine, 1999. "Flight capital as a portfolio choice," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2066, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  7. Pasricha, Gurnain Kaur, 2008. "Imperfect Competition in Financial Markets and Capital Controls: A Model and a Test," MPRA Paper 12125, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  8. Andrew Powell & Dilip Ratha & Sanket Mohapatra, 2002. "Capital Inflows and Capital Outflows: Measurement, Determinants, Consequences," Business School Working Papers veinticinco, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella. [Downloadable!]
  9. Arnab K. Basu & Nancy H. Chau, 2004. "A Risk-Based Rationale for Two-way Capital Flows: Why Do Capital Flights and Inward Foreign Direct Investments Co-exist?," Working Papers 04, Department of Economics, College of William and Mary. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  10. Melike Altinkemer, 1996. "Capital Flows : The Turkish Case," Discussion Papers 9601, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey. [Downloadable!]
  11. Nathan Sheets, 1995. "Capital flight from the countries in transition: some theory and empirical evidence," International Finance Discussion Papers 514, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
  12. Hermes, Niels & Lensink, Robert & Murinde, Victor, 2002. "Flight Capital and its Reversal for Development Financing," Working Papers UNU-WIDER Research Paper , World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER). [Downloadable!]
  13. Lisa M. Schineller, 1997. "An econometric model of capital flight from developing countries," International Finance Discussion Papers 579, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
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