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Regional Climate Change of the Greater Zambezi River Basin: A Hybrid Assessment

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  • Adam Schlosser
  • Kenneth Strzepek

Abstract

Projections of regional changes in seasonal surface-air temperature and precipitation for the eastern and western Zambezi River Basin regions are presented. These projections are cast in a probabilistic context based on a numerical hybridization technique of the MIT Integrated Global System Model. Unconstrained emissions send the majority of outcomes in spring precipitation to a drying by 2050, although the total distribution spans both precipitation increases and decreases.

Suggested Citation

  • Adam Schlosser & Kenneth Strzepek, 2013. "Regional Climate Change of the Greater Zambezi River Basin: A Hybrid Assessment," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2013-040, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    • Handle: RePEc:unu:wpaper:wp-2013-040
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    File URL: https://www.wider.unu.edu/sites/default/files/WP2013-040.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Channing Arndt & Julia Kozlitina & Paul V. Preckel, 2006. "Efficient survey sampling of households via Gaussian quadrature," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 55(3), pages 355-364, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Channing Arndt & Charles Fant & Sherman Robinson & Kenneth Strzepek, 2015. "Informed selection of future climates," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 130(1), pages 21-33, May.
    2. C. Schlosser & Kenneth Strzepek, 2015. "Regional climate change of the greater Zambezi River Basin: a hybrid assessment," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 130(1), pages 9-19, May.
    3. C. Adam Schlosser & Ken Strzepek, 2015. "Assessing the likelihood of regional climate change over the Nile River basin and northern Africa: A hybrid assessment," WIDER Working Paper Series 152, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    4. James Cullis & Theresa Alton & Channing Arndt & Anton Cartwright & Alice Chang & Sherwin Gabriel & Yohannes Gebretsadik & Faaiqa Hartley & Gerald de Jager & Konstantin Makrelov & Gordon Robertson & Ad, 2015. "An Uncertainty Approach to Modelling Climate Change Risk in South Africa," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2015-045, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    5. Raffaello Cervigni & Pasquale Lucio Scandizzo, 2017. "The Ocean Economy in Mauritius," World Bank Publications - Reports 28562, The World Bank Group.
    6. Channing Arndt & Adam Schlosser & Kenneth Strzepek & James Thurlow, 2014. "Climate Change and Economic Growth Prospects for Malawi: An Uncertainty Approach," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 23(suppl_2), pages 83-107.
    7. Theresa Alton & Channing Arndt & Yohannes Gebretsadik & Faaiqa Hartley & Konstantin Makrelov & Kenneth Strzepek & James Thurlow & C. Adam Schlosser & Sherwin Gabriel & James Cullis & Anton Cartwright , 2015. "An uncertainty approach to modelling climate change risk in South Africa," WIDER Working Paper Series 045, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    8. Channing Arndt & James Thurlow, 2015. "Climate uncertainty and economic development: evaluating the case of Mozambique to 2050," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 130(1), pages 63-75, May.
    9. Adam Schlosser & Kenneth Strzepek, 2015. "Assessing the likelihood of regional climate change over the Nile River basin and northern Africa: A hybrid assessment," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2015-152, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    10. Channing Arndt & Adam Schlosser & Kenneth Strzepek & James Thurlow, 2014. "Climate Change and Economic Growth Prospects for Malawi: An Uncertainty Approach," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies (CSAE), vol. 23(suppl_2), pages 83-107.

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