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Capital inflows, sustained investment surges, and the role of external economies of scale in a developing economy

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  • Arslan Razmi

    (Department of Economics, University of Massachusetts Amherst)

Abstract

Standard open economy macro models with unemployment predict a contractionary short-run effect of international capital inflows. Empirical evidence, on the other hand, often associates such inflows with short-term booms, and developing country policy makers frequently go out of their way to welcome foreign capital. Employing a portfolio balance framework, this paper distinguishes between international financial (i.e., bond) and "real" (i.e., equity) flows to explore the different consequences for capital accumulation that may follow over the medium run. The presence of external economies of scale generates multiple equilibria, and different kinds of capital flows may push investment in one direction or the other for sustained periods of time.

Suggested Citation

  • Arslan Razmi, 2019. "Capital inflows, sustained investment surges, and the role of external economies of scale in a developing economy," UMASS Amherst Economics Working Papers 2019-20, University of Massachusetts Amherst, Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:ums:papers:2019-20
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    File URL: https://scholarworks.umass.edu/econ_workingpaper/278/
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development

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