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Agregados monetarios Divisia y demanda de dinero en Uruguay

Author

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  • José Ignacio González Giangrossi

Abstract

En este trabajo se construyeron agregados monetarios Divisia para Uruguay en el periodo 1998.12-2015.06 y se lo comparó con los agregados monetarios tradicionales. Las diferencias encontradas van en aumento a medida que se amplían los agregados, siendo muy pequeñas para M1’ pero muy significativas para el caso de M2+títulos. Posteriormente, estas medidas se incorporaron en una función de demanda de dinero y utilizando un modelo de corrección de errores se examinó la dinámica de corto plazo, encontrándose un rápido ajuste al desvío de largo plazo, y en los modelos con Divisia una semi-elasticidad al costo de oportunidad del dinero más alta. De los seis candidatos, el modelo con Divisia M2 es el que presenta un mejor ajuste y con el cual resulta adecuado hacer el seguimiento de la demanda de dinero y complementar el análisis de la política monetaria.

Suggested Citation

  • José Ignacio González Giangrossi, 2016. "Agregados monetarios Divisia y demanda de dinero en Uruguay," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers) 0916, Department of Economics - dECON.
    • Handle: RePEc:ude:wpaper:0916
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    File URL: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/8089
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    Cited by:

    1. Ana Inés Arbiza, 2018. "¿Es estable la demanda de dinero? Análisis del caso Uruguayo," Documentos de trabajo 2018009, Banco Central del Uruguay.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Agregados monetarios; índices Divisia; demanda de dinero; cointegración; Uruguay;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • N16 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations - - - Latin America; Caribbean

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