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El impacto de la crisis asiática en el Cono Sur latinoamericano

Author

Listed:
  • Ruben Tansini

    (Departamento de Economía, Facultad de Ciencias Sociales, Universidad de la República)

  • Mario Zejan

    (European Institute of Japanese Studies, Stockholm School of Economics)

Abstract

La crisis del sudeste asiático y la recesión en Japón parecieran tener un efecto directo relativamente acotado en los flujos de comercio agregados del Cono Sur, sin embargo parece ser significativo el impacto de la turbulencia en los mercados de capitales. Chile y Brasil confrontan esta situación con déficits de balanza de cuenta corriente difíciles de sostener, sin recurrir a políticas de cambio más activas, con tasas de devaluación más aceleradas, acompañadas con políticas fiscales y monetaria contractivas para evitar repuntes inflacionarios. Por su parte, la economía argentina evidencia, una vez más, su capacidad de mantener la convertibilidad del peso aún en situaciones de fuerte recesión, cuya profundidad dependerá de dos factores: las posibilidades de acceso a capitales internacionales, y de la evolución del plan de estabilización brasileño.

Suggested Citation

  • Ruben Tansini & Mario Zejan, 1998. "El impacto de la crisis asiática en el Cono Sur latinoamericano," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers) 0799, Department of Economics - dECON.
    • Handle: RePEc:ude:wpaper:0799
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    File URL: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/1893
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