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Understanding Devaluations in Latin America: A "Bad Fundamentals" Approach

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Author Info
Maria Soledad Martincider/c97-86_app.pdfez.
Abstract

This paper is an empirical study of the determinants of Latin American devaluations during the period between 1957 and 1988. The estimation of probabilities of devaluation is done using logit analysis.The empirical results show that reserves, the real exchange rate, the share of domestic credit to the public sector and the current account deficit have a significant effect on the likelihood of a devaluation. In summary, this paper confirms the view that devaluations in Latin America are a consequence o f the state of fundamentals in these economies.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University of California at Berkeley in its series Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers with number C97-086.

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Date of creation: 01 May 1997
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Handle: RePEc:ucb:calbcd:c97-086

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