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Event Studies in Merger Analysis: Review and an Application Using U.S. TNIC Data

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  • Timo Klein

    (University of Amsterdam)

Abstract

There is a growing concern that U.S. merger control may have been too lenient, but empirical evidence remains limited. After reviewing event studies as a method to acquire empirical insights into the competitive effects of mergers, I propose a novel application using Hoberg-Phillips TNIC data. This application allows for the ready approximation of abnormal stock market returns of likely competitors to 1,751 of the largest U.S. mergers since 1997. I document that likely competitors experience on average an abnormal return of close to one percent around a merger announcement. Abnormal returns are also strongly associated with concerns of market power, which suggests that competitors benefit at least in part because of an anticipation of anti-competitive effects -- and hence insufficient merger control.

Suggested Citation

  • Timo Klein, 2020. "Event Studies in Merger Analysis: Review and an Application Using U.S. TNIC Data," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 20-005/VII, Tinbergen Institute, revised 31 Mar 2020.
  • Handle: RePEc:tin:wpaper:20200005
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Mergers; Antitrust; Event Studies; Text-Based Network Industry Classification;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G34 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Mergers; Acquisitions; Restructuring; Corporate Governance
    • L13 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Oligopoly and Other Imperfect Markets
    • L40 - Industrial Organization - - Antitrust Issues and Policies - - - General

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