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The Exchange Rate Targeting of Central Banks Revisited: The Role of Long-term Interest Rates

Author

Listed:
  • Markus Lahtinen
  • Petri Mäki-Fränti

    (School of Management, University of Tampere)

Abstract

Using a New Keynesian macro model, the paper reconsiders the question, whether the central banks should directly respond to exchange rate movements. It is assumed that the transmission of monetary policy to output is carried out by the long-term interest rate, which is determined as a sum of expectations of short-term interest rates and a non-negligible term premium. The second key feature of the model is the assumption that the pass-through of the nominal exchange rate to consumer prices follows a slow distributed-lag process. According to the results, the central banks could gain from stabilizing the exchange rate movements more than suggested in the previous literature. The welfare gains are more clearly seen in the reduced volatility of inflation than stabilization of output, however.

Suggested Citation

  • Markus Lahtinen & Petri Mäki-Fränti, 2006. "The Exchange Rate Targeting of Central Banks Revisited: The Role of Long-term Interest Rates," Working Papers 0646, Tampere University, Faculty of Management and Business, Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:tam:wpaper:0646
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    File URL: http://urn.fi/urn:isbn:951-44-6582-2
    File Function: First version, 2006
    Download Restriction: no
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Open economy; Exchange rate determination; Monetary policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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