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Investor demand in syndicated bond issuances: stylised facts

Author

Listed:
  • Martin Hillebrand

    (ESM)

  • Marko Mravlak

    (ESM)

  • Peter Schwendner

    (Zurich University of Applied Sciences)

Abstract

This study analyses investor demand in syndicated EFSF and ESM bond issuances from 2014 to 2020 on an unprecedented granularity level of individual orders. In particular, we investigate three main aspects of order book dynamics: first, we determine the main factors segmenting investor demand. Second, we analyse price dynamics in the transactions and its relation to investor demand. Third, we examine whether there are any indications of order book inflation that might explain the increased volatility in order book volume. We identify issuance tranche and tenor as the main determinants of investor demand, which are to a large extent anticipated by the envisaged notional amount of the issuance. Further, we note that the pricing of ESM bond issuances is carried out in an economical manner, i.e. the new issue premium tends to be lower in a market context with large demand. Lastly, we look at the drivers of large order books and find a mixture of above average number and volume of orders. This confirms that there are no indications of order book inflation tendencies in the analysed time period.

Suggested Citation

  • Martin Hillebrand & Marko Mravlak & Peter Schwendner, 2021. "Investor demand in syndicated bond issuances: stylised facts," Working Papers 50, European Stability Mechanism, revised 23 Dec 2021.
    • Handle: RePEc:stm:wpaper:50
    as

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    File URL: https://www.esm.europa.eu/sites/default/files/document/2021-12/ESM_WP_50.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Investor demand; bond issuance; bond syndication; bond primary market; investor behaviour; order books; order book inflation; new issue premium;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors
    • G40 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance - - - General

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