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Electoral Cycles and Public Employment in Brazilian Prefectures: Evidence for the years 2002-2013

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  • Rafael Alves de Albuquerque Tavares

Abstract

This paper analyzes the effect of the municipal elections on the personnel expenses of Brazilian municipal governments, in search of evidence on the existence of electoral cycles in municipal expenditures. Using data that covers the 2002-2009 period, I estimate a Fixed Effects model. The results of the article indicate that in electoral years there is a decrease in personnel expenses. By separating the type of employment relationship of the worker, this article shows evidence that there is a decrease in the number of appointed and by-contract workers and the maintenance of the number of statutory workers. In addition, the total wage bill is reduced for all types of employment relation.

Suggested Citation

  • Rafael Alves de Albuquerque Tavares, 2017. "Electoral Cycles and Public Employment in Brazilian Prefectures: Evidence for the years 2002-2013," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2017_06, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
    • Handle: RePEc:spa:wpaper:2017wpecon06
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Electoral Cycles; Municipal Public Finance; Public Sector Employment.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • H72 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - State and Local Budget and Expenditures
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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