Comparative Analysis of Corporate Distress Prediction Models: A Dynamic Performance Evaluation Framework

In practice, investors, portfolio managers, and regulators continuously assess and monitor the performance of corporations. Such assessment and monitoring exercise is typically performed using a variety of tools including prediction models of distress. With the enormous number of prediction models, a strand of literature has focused on comparing the performance of alternative distress prediction models. In this research, we explore dynamic modelling and prediction frameworks of corporate distress and propose new ones. A dynamic evaluation framework is also proposed to assess the relative performance of these dynamic models in predicting corporate distress using a sample of UK firms listed on the London Stock Exchange (LSE).