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Small sample properties of panel time-series estimators with I(1) errors

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Author Info
Jerry Coakley, Ana-Maria Fuertes, Ron Smith

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Abstract

Monte Carlo simulations are used to explore the small-sample properties of a mean group and two pooled panel estimators of a regression coefficient when the regressor is I(1). We compare and contrast the effect of I(0) and I(1) errors and homogeneous and heterogeneous coefficients in a design based on two typical PPP panels. The results confirm that the asymptotic theory is relevant to practical applications. With I(0) errors and homogeneous coefficients, the estimators are unbiased, dispersion depends on the signal-noise ratio and falls at rate T(rootN) as expected. With I(1) errors and no cointegration, dispersion falls at rate rootN. When heterogeneity is introduced with I(0) errors, the dispersion of the pooled estimators falls at rate root N, but that of the mean group continues to fall at rate T(rootN). Finally, the pooled estimators are likely to lead to distorted inference both in the case of I(1) errors and the case of I(0) errors with heterogeneous coefficients case. The mean group estimators are, however, are generally correctly sized.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Society for Computational Economics in its series Computing in Economics and Finance 2001 with number 191.

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Date of creation: 01 Apr 2001
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Handle: RePEc:sce:scecf1:191

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Related research
Keywords: Monte Carlo; response surface; spurious regression; PPP;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions
F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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  1. Fabiana Rocha, 2009. "Heterogeneity, saving-investment dynamics and capital mobility in Latin America," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 36(3), pages 611-619, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. James Smith, . "That elusive elasticity and the ubiquitous bias: is panel data a panacea?," Bank of England working papers 342, Bank of England. [Downloadable!]
  3. Jerry Coakley & Stuart Snaith, 2005. "Testing for symmetry and proportionality in a European panel," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 15(11), pages 745-752, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Jerry Coakley & Stuart Snaith, 2004. "Testing for Long Run Relative PPP in Europe," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2004 34, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
  5. Abdullah Noman, 2008. "Testing for PPP in the mean-group panel rgression framework: further evidence," Economics Bulletin, Economics Bulletin, vol. 6(20), pages 1-12. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Jerry Coakley & Ana-Maria Fuertes & Ron Smith, 2002. "A Principal Components Approach to Cross-Section Dependence in Panels," 10th International Conference on Panel Data, Berlin, July 5-6, 2002 B5-3, International Conferences on Panel Data. [Downloadable!]
  7. Jerry Coakley & Ana-Maria Fuertes & Fabio Spagnolo, 2004. "The Feldstein-Horioka puzzle is not as bad as you think," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003 17, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
  8. Jerry Coakley & Ana-Maria Fuertes & Andrew Wood, 2004. "A new interpretation of the exchange rate-yield differential nexus," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 9(3), pages 201-218. [Downloadable!]
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  9. Österholm, Pär, 2004. "Estimating the Relationship between Age Structure and GDP in the OECD Using Panel Cointegration Methods," Working Paper Series 2004:13, Uppsala University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  10. Herwartz, Helmut & Xu, Fang, 2006. "Panel data model comparison for empirical saving-investment relations," Economics Working Papers 2006,06, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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