Benefits and risks for Russian industries and individual enterprises from the implementation of trade and economic agreements of the CIS countries[Выгоды И Риски Для Российских Отраслей И Отдельных Предприятий От Реализации Торгово-Экономических Соглашений Стран Снг]

The CIS countries, or more broadly the former republics of the USSR, are effectively making a choice between European (EU) and Eurasian (EAEU) integration, which leads to certain benefits and risks for all CIS+ countries (including Ukraine and Georgia), especially for Russia. The cases of Ukraine, Georgia and Moldova are of primary interest. Termination of trade and economic cooperation, disruption of value chains, etc. entail a serious threat to industrial development for Russian industries and individual enterprises. Crisis phenomena such as the COVID-19 pandemic, for example, only exacerbate these trends. Great Britain’s departure from the EU (Brexit) at the end of January 2020 is also of research interest. The topics of the post-Soviet countries and their trade and economic cooperation with different countries have been studied by various authors since the collapse of the USSR. In the past ten years, there has been an increase in the activity of studying these problems, in connection with the development of the European Neighborhood Policy on the one hand and Eurasian integration on the other. Research by foreign and domestic authors can be distinguished into the following groups: 1) Analysis, including quantitative analysis, of various integration scenarios for the CIS+ countries. 2) The confrontation between European and Eurasian integrations, as well as the problems of the EAEU. 3) Problems of cooperation between Russia and the post-Soviet countries, including at the level of individual enterprises. However, the issue of assessing the risks and possible consequences at the enterprise level for the EAEU countries from the implementation of the agreements of the CIS member states remains insufficiently studied, especially taking into account the participation in value chains and the importance of industrial recovery after the COVID-19 pandemic, etc.