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Endogenisierung der Politikreaktion im SIR-Modell einer Epidemie

Author

Listed:
  • Beckmann, Klaus

    (Helmut Schmidt University, Hamburg)

Abstract

Der Beitrag vermittelt einem wissenschaftlich gebildeten Publikum diesseits der medienüblichen Virologinnen den Mechanismus epidemiologischer Modelle. Daneben wird die Politik in einem epidemiologischen Standardmodell endogenisiert und die zentrale Hypothese anhand von RKI-Daten überprüft. Es zeigt sich, dass durch die Erweiterung des SIR-Modells um eine politische Feedback-Schleife eine „zweite Welle“ endogen enstehen kann. Eine vorläufige empirische Analyse deutet auf eine gewisse Plausbilität des postulierten Mechanismus hin.

Suggested Citation

  • Beckmann, Klaus, 2020. "Endogenisierung der Politikreaktion im SIR-Modell einer Epidemie," Working Paper 185/2020, Helmut Schmidt University, Hamburg.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:vhsuwp:2020_185
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    COVID-19; SIR-Modell; Staatliche Aktivitäten;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H12 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - Crisis Management
    • I12 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Health Behavior

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