IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ris/nereus/2012_003.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Demographic Change and Regional Economic Growth in Brazil

Author

Listed:
  • Porsse, Alexandre
  • Stampe, Marianne
  • Portugal, Marcelo
  • de Almeida, Eduardo

Abstract

In this paper we investigate if demographic change plays a role in the dynamic of regional economic growth in Brazil. The Brazilian economy has presented a very fast demographic transition because fertility and mortality rates of population have significantly decreased over the last decades. It is expected that demographic change affects the growth performance over the time since changes in the population structure imply in changes on the consumption and savings decisions, labor supply and productivity and in public investments as pension system expenditures tend to increase. Additionally, the pattern of demographic change and structure is not homogenous among Brazilian regions. This paper explores how the regional demographic structure has changed over the last decades among Brazilian regions and estimates convergence equations conditioned by demographic factors. The extent of the demographic effects on economic growth and its sensitiveness to different specifications for the econometric models are investigated.

Suggested Citation

  • Porsse, Alexandre & Stampe, Marianne & Portugal, Marcelo & de Almeida, Eduardo, 2012. "Demographic Change and Regional Economic Growth in Brazil," TD NEREUS 3-2012, Núcleo de Economia Regional e Urbana da Universidade de São Paulo (NEREUS).
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:nereus:2012_003
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.usp.br/nereus/wp-content/uploads/TDNereus_03_12.pdf
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: ris
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Brazilian states; demographic change; income convergence;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ris:nereus:2012_003. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Eduardo Amaral Haddad (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/neuspbr.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.