미·중·러 전략경쟁 시기 러시아의 대중국 관계 발전과 정책 시사점(Russia’s Relations with China in the Era of US-China-Russia Strategic Competition)

이 보고서는 미·중·러 전략경쟁의 본격화 및 갈등의 심화 속에서 러·중 간의 전략적 관계 발전에 대한 종합적인 연구 작업으로 수행되었다. 새로운 국제질서의 형성 과정에서 러시아의 대중국 전략의 기본 방향과 의미, 분야별(정치, 외교, 안보, 군사, 경제, 사회, 문화) 협력의 세부 내용과 주요 특징을 분석하였다. 특히 이 연구는 러시아의 시각과 입장에서 러ㆍ중 간의 주요 분야별 협력 방향과 수준에 대한 종합적 평가를 토대로 한국에 유용한 정책적 시사점을 도출하고자 했다. This study comprehensively examines the development of Russia’sstrategic relationship with China amid intensifying strategic competition among the United States, China, and Russia. Specifically, we analyze the basic meaning and direction of Russia’s strategy toward China in the process of shaping a new global order, and the keyfeatures and characteristics of cooperation between the two countries in a wide range of fields spanning politics, diplomacy, security, military, economy, society, and culture. Accordingly, this research seeks to derive useful policy implications for Korea based on evaluation of the direction and level of Russia-China cooperation from the Russian perspective.This study consists of four major chapters. Chapter 2 examines the background and strategic significance of Russia’s political, diplomatic, and security relations with China. The deterioration of US relations with China and Russia, which is currently progressing at the global level, is acting as a decisive factor pushing Russia and China closer to each other. In order to grasp the dynamics of US- China-Russia relations and Russia’s perception of the international order, we seek theoretical and historical approaches to the strategic trianglerelationship, while examining the possible formation of a new type of triangle relationship. Based on this, the chapter describes Russia’s perception of China and its policy direction, as well as the evaluation and prospects of Russia-China relations. Chapter 3 analyzes the background and strategic significance ofRussia’s economic, trade, and industrial relations with China. First, Russia’s perception of economic security and the background of deepening economic relations with China are comprehensively identified. In particular, we examine the opportunities and constraints associated with Russia-China cooperation in the fields of advanced technology, energy, and finance, which are key strategic areas for strengthening Russia’s economic security in the face of intenseWestern sanctions against its economy.(the rest omitted)