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El Crecimiento Económico en Bolivia 1952 – 2003

Author

Listed:
  • Mercado, Alejandro F.

    (IISEC, Universidad Católica Boliviana)

  • Leitón-Quiroga, Jorge G. M.

    (IISEC, Universidad Católica Boliviana)

  • Chacón, Marcelo F.

    (IISEC, Universidad Católica Boliviana)

Abstract

En el análisis estadístico-descriptivo de la serie 1952-2003 para la economía boliviana, se observó que el comportamiento tendencial es dominante respecto al cíclico, por lo que la discrecionalidad de las políticas económicas no coadyuva al crecimiento económico. De esta manera, adquiere importancia la estimación de la tasa natural de crecimiento para Bolivia y los resultados encontrados muestran que para el período 1990-2003 la tasa de crecimiento natural de la economía boliviana alcanza el 4.04% anual. De igual forma, al realizar el análisis de corto plazo, vemos que ante la presencia de shocks, la economía boliviana retorna a su tendencia de largo plazo en un periodo promedio de cinco trimestres. Finalmente, los resultados encontrados muestran fuertes rigideces que enfrenta la economía boliviana para impulsar el crecimiento económico. Instituto de Investigaciones Socio - Económicas, IISEC

Suggested Citation

  • Mercado, Alejandro F. & Leitón-Quiroga, Jorge G. M. & Chacón, Marcelo F., 2005. "El Crecimiento Económico en Bolivia 1952 – 2003," Documentos de trabajo 2/2005, Instituto de Investigaciones Socio-Económicas (IISEC), Universidad Católica Boliviana.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:iisecd:2005_002
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    Keywords

    Crecimiento Económico; Tasa Natural de Crecimiento; Política Económica; Series de Tiempo; Tendencia y Ciclos; Instituto de Investigaciones Socio - Económicas; IISEC;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C19 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Other
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy
    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

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