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Coordination Capital

Author

Listed:
  • Mathieu Taschereau-Dumouchel

    (University of Pennsylvania - Wharton)

  • Edouard Schaal

    (New York University)

Abstract

We propose a model of coordination failures for business cycles in which agents learn to coordinate over time. The economy features an aggregate demand externality that leads to multiple equilibria under complete information. Under incomplete information, a group of informed agents receive private signals about the fundamentals of the economy, while a group of uninformed agents only observe past public realizations of aggregate demand. The economy takes a long time to recover from recessions because their coordination capital is destroyed: agents lose their ability to coordinate on the good outcome. In a recovery, informed agents wait for the uninformed to take action before resuming production, while uninformed agents infer the level of the fundamental by observing the endogenously low level of demand. As a result, uninformed agents keep pessimistic beliefs about the fundamental for an extended period of time and downturns become very protracted. The equilibrium is inefficient and we characterize optimal policy interventions.

Suggested Citation

  • Mathieu Taschereau-Dumouchel & Edouard Schaal, 2014. "Coordination Capital," 2014 Meeting Papers 723, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  • Handle: RePEc:red:sed014:723
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