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Innovation, Growth, and Asset Pricing

Author

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  • Lukas Schmid

    (Duke University)

  • Howard Kung

    (Duke University)

Abstract

We examine the asset pricing implications of innovation and R\&D in a stochastic model of endogenous growth. In equilibrium, R\&D endogenously drives a small, persistent component in productivity growth, in line with the data. These productivity dynamics induce long and persistent swings in macro growth rates and asset market valuations at medium and low frequencies. With recursive preferences, households are very averse to such movements in growth rates and command high risk premia in asset markets, helping the model to quantitatively rationalize a variety of asset pricing data. In the model, the resolution of these puzzles is inherently linked to the strong propagation mechanism the model exhibits, absent in standard macroeconomic models. We find strong empirical support for innovation driven low frequency movements in aggregate growth rates and asset market valuations in the data.

Suggested Citation

  • Lukas Schmid & Howard Kung, 2011. "Innovation, Growth, and Asset Pricing," 2011 Meeting Papers 1325, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  • Handle: RePEc:red:sed011:1325
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    Cited by:

    1. Emi Nakamura & Dmitriy Sergeyev & Jón Steinsson, 2017. "Growth-Rate and Uncertainty Shocks in Consumption: Cross-Country Evidence," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 9(1), pages 1-39, January.
    2. Ina Simonovska & Espen Henriksen, 2013. "Time-Varying Risk Premia and Capital Flows to Developing Countries," 2013 Meeting Papers 1258, Society for Economic Dynamics.

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