Optimal Fiscal Policy and Sovereign Debt: A signaling model
AbstractThis paper analyzes the optimal use of fiscal policy and sovereign debt repayment as signals in an asymmetric information environment. It shows that the presence of government private information could turn an optimal full-information countercyclical fiscal policy into a pro-cyclical one that exacerbates the cycle. This may occur if the effect of aggregate shocks on the signaling properties of fiscal policy is not symmetric across states. An alternative channel for this result could be the impact of the cycle on the government borrowing constraints. These two mechanisms provide a rational for the observed pro-cyclicality in fiscal policy in emerging countries where both private information and sovereign borrowing constraints are more pervasive than in developed economies
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Society for Economic Dynamics in its series 2006 Meeting Papers with number 488.
Date of creation: 03 Dec 2006
Date of revision:
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Postal: Society for Economic Dynamics Christian Zimmermann Economic Research Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis PO Box 442 St. Louis MO 63166-0442 USA
Web page: http://www.EconomicDynamics.org/society.htm
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Fiscal Policy; Sovereign Debt; Taxation; asymmetric information;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
- E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy
- F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
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