Externalities in U.S. Manufacturing
AbstractThis paper investigates the usefulness of the semi-parametric spatial vector autoregressive approach proposed by Chen and Conley (JE 2001) in modelling the growth rates of Total Factor Productivity (TFP) for a large cross-section of U.S. manufacturing industries. The magnitude of the interactions of TFP's across sectors is of great economic significance as it gives an indication of the importance of Marshallian externalities which are a necessary ingredients in many endogenous growth models. In the approach by Chen and Conley the magnitude of the effect of one sector has on the other sectors depends on the economic distance between them. Both the dependence of the coefficients of the VAR and of the covariances of the error terms on the distances between sectors is modelled in a semi-parametric way using cardinal B-splines. Irrespective whether distances are computed from factor shares or input-output tables, most of the interaction seems to be captured by the covariances whereas lagged TFP growth rates and/or lagged growth rates of capital intensities have only a negligible effect.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Society for Economic Dynamics in its series 2004 Meeting Papers with number 346.
Date of creation: 2004
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Postal: Society for Economic Dynamics Christian Zimmermann Economic Research Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis PO Box 442 St. Louis MO 63166-0442 USA
Web page: http://www.EconomicDynamics.org/society.htm
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sectoral TFP; cross-section externalities; spatial VAR;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- C31 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions; Social Interaction Models
- O41 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2004-08-02 (All new papers)
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