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On the Changing Structure of Unemployment Duration

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Author Info
Aysegul Sahin
Toshihiko Mukoyama

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Abstract

This paper examines the causes of observed increase in the duration of unemployment relative to the unemployment rate in the Post-War United States. First we analyze if changes in the demographic composition of U.S. labor force can explain the change in the structure of unemployment duration. In particular, we examine how much of the observed change can be explained by the aging of the baby boom cohort, increase in women's labor force participation, and change in the educational attainment of the labor force. We then consider institutional changes, such as the change in the generosity and coverage of unemployment insurance and the change in union affiliation. We show that changes in the composition of the labor force and institutional changes can only partially account for the observed increase in the duration of unemployment. We argue that increase in within-group wage inequality can potentially be important in explaining the changing structure of unemployment duration. We examine this hypothesis by setting up a job search model and calibrating it to the U.S. data. The results indicate that 75% of the increase in the duration of unemployment can be explained by the increase in the within-group wage inequality

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Society for Economic Dynamics in its series 2004 Meeting Papers with number 11.

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Date of creation: 2004
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Handle: RePEc:red:sed004:11

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Postal: Society for Economic Dynamics Anne Stubing CV Starr Center for Applied Economics 269 Mercer Street, Room 303 New York University New York, NY 10003
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Related research
Keywords: Unemployment Duration; Job Search; Within-Group Inequality;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution
J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, and Vacancies - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-5.


This information is provided to you by IDEAS at the Department of Economics, College of Liberal Arts and Sciences, University of Connecticut using RePEc data on a server sponsored by the Society for Economic Dynamics.