Port Rehabilitation And Expansion: The Makar Project In The Philippines
AbstractIn this paper we report on an evaluation of the feasibility of a port improvement project at General Santos City in the Philippines. For an analysis of this project, which is an expansion of an existing facility, the financial and economic analyses are conducted with and without the project. To identify the variables that would have an important impact on the project’s net present value and to assess the nature of the variability of the returns from this investment, a sensitivity and risk analysis is carried out. From this analysis we find that the proposed expansion plan of the port is neither financially nor economically justified. The mean and median of both financial and economic incremental net present values (NPVs) are significantly negative, showing that the financial and economic NPVs with the project are much lower than those without the project. This project turns out to be one that is sensitive to the time at which the project is started. The country will benefit if the project is postponed, but it should be postponed for a decade. Even with the expected poor financial and economic performance, the project does have major beneficiaries. The shippers of goods and livestock, and the shipowners will receive substantial benefits from the project. They will be strong and vocal proponents of this project because, while they receive most of the benefits of the project, they pay only a small share of the cost.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by JDI Executive Programs in its series Development Discussion Papers with number 1996-02.
Length: 55 pages
Date of creation: Feb 1996
Date of revision:
Port; Philippines; economics of port improvement;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- H43 - Public Economics - - Publicly Provided Goods - - - Project Evaluation; Social Discount Rate
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- Glenn Jenkins & D.N.S. DHAKAL, 1991. "International Trade In Energy: The Chukha Hydro-Electric Project In Bhutan," Development Discussion Papers 1990-01, JDI Executive Programs.
- Glenn Jenkins, 1994.
"The Appraisal Of Investment Projects - A Teaching Approach,"
Development Discussion Papers
1994-05, JDI Executive Programs.
- Glenn P. Jenkins, 1994. "The appraisal of investment projects: A teaching approach," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 6(1), pages 115-122, 01.
- Glenn Jenkins & GANGADHAR SHUKLA, 1991. "Resource Taxation And Project Feasibility: The Misima Gold Mine, Papua, New Guinea," Development Discussion Papers 1991-04, JDI Executive Programs.
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