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Stock market and macroeconomic policies: The case of Mongolia

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  • Taguchi, Hiroyuki

Abstract

Mongolian stock market is underdeveloped compared with its banking credit market, due to a lot of impediment factors to prevent its development. This means Mongolian economy still has much room where its stock market development promotes the long-term financing and investment into non-mining sectors for sustainable economic growth. This paper aims to provide the evidence on the relationship between stock market and macroeconomic policies in Mongolia under the hypothesis that the recent biases of fiscal and monetary policies would distort her stock-price formation. The empirical analysis in this study found that the cumulative public debt and too high policy rate have stagnated the stock prices, through identifying the negative impulse responses of stock prices to the shocks of policy rate and government securities under a vector-autoregressive model estimation. The strategic policy implication for normalizing the stock prices could be the significance in ensuring budget consolidation and in addressing a fear of floating in monetary policy management in Mongolia.

Suggested Citation

  • Taguchi, Hiroyuki, 2018. "Stock market and macroeconomic policies: The case of Mongolia," MPRA Paper 90686, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:90686
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Stock Market; Fiscal policy; Government Securities; Monetary Policy; Policy Rate; Vector auto-regression;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East

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