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Predicting the Profit Potential of a Microeconomic Process: An Information Theoretic/Thermodynamic Approach

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Author Info
George, Michael

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Abstract

It would be of great benefit if management could predict the huge profit benefit that would result from modest investments in process improvement initiatives such as Lean, Six Sigma and Complexity reduction. While the application of these initiatives was initially restricted to manufacturing, they have been expanded to product development, marketing, and indeed all microeconomic processes... This paper derives an equation that, subject to further testing, appears to make such a profit prediction possible allowing a rational investment in microeconomic process improvement. That the profit of a company is greatly increased by the reduction of internal waste was originally demonstrated by Henry Ford, but has been greatly extended by Toyota. All waste in a process results in longer lead times from the injection of work into the process until its delivery to the customer or user. Thus the increase in profit is principally driven by the reduction of lead time. The lead time of any process is governed by Little’s Law. The central result of this paper is that the reduction of Little’s Law leads to an equation for the reduction of process Entropy in analogy to thermodynamic waste in a heat engine. Case studies are used to estimate the magnitude of Boltzmann’s Constant for Microeconomic processes. The resulting Equation of Profit allows the prediction of the amount of waste cost elimination based on explicit Lean, Six Sigma and Complexity reduction parameters.

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File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/4816/
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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 4816.

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Date of creation: 11 Sep 2007
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:4816

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Related research
Keywords: Profit Increase Prediction Process Entropy Information Complexity Waste Equation of Profit Little’s Law Business Analogies with Thermodynamics Boltzmann’s Constant of Business Carnot Shannon

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
D24 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Production; Capital and Total Factor Productivity; Capacity
D2 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations
D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search, Learning, and Information

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  1. John Bryant, 2007. "A Thermodynamic Theory of Economics," Working Papers tefprv2007, Economic Consultancy, Vocat International. [Downloadable!]
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