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Demande de réserves et aléa moral dans une Union Monétaire
[Demand for reserves and moral hazard in a Monetary Union]

Author

Listed:
  • Alia, Didier Yélognissè
  • Tchakoua, Herviste
  • Ngwesse, Roland
  • Kamga, Severin Yves

Abstract

L’objectif de ce papier est d’examiner l’existence ou non d’un comportement d’aléa moral dans la demande de réserve internationale des pays membres d’une union monétaire, avec application à la CEMAC. Il se base sur des éléments de statistiques descriptives et se veut le début d’une analyse plus poussée à l’aide d’outils économétriques adéquats. De nos analyses, il ressort que les réserves internationales sont un instrument important qui permet de résorber les déséquilibres de payements, et de ce fait, leur demande dans une union monétaire entraîne un comportement d’aléa moral. Ce comportement se caractérisant par un laxisme dans la gestion économique et un tirage abusif sur le pooling. Ce comportement a été clairement mis en évidence dans le cas de la CEMAC, mais à des degrés divers pour les pays. Une solution à ce problème, qui ne devrait pas détruire l’union, serait de catégoriser les pays suivant leur risque de déficit afin d’exiger de chacun un coût de participation préalable à l’union.

Suggested Citation

  • Alia, Didier Yélognissè & Tchakoua, Herviste & Ngwesse, Roland & Kamga, Severin Yves, 2009. "Demande de réserves et aléa moral dans une Union Monétaire [Demand for reserves and moral hazard in a Monetary Union]," MPRA Paper 31373, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:31373
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dodsworth, John R, 1978. "International Reserve Economies in Less Developed Countries," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 30(2), pages 277-291, July.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Demande de réserve. aléa moral; union mondetaire; CEMAC;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E02 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Institutions and the Macroeconomy
    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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