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The middle way between flexible and fixed exchange rates

Author

Listed:
  • Deabes, Tosson

Abstract

This paper addresses Ihe new-orthodox view that the choice of exchange rate regime lias been hollowed out to a choice between the two comer solutions of firmly fixed and more or less freely floating exchange rates. While conceding that both these regimes have an advantage over intermediate regimes in terms of being less vulnerable to crisis, as well as simplifying the policy assignment, it argues that neither a currency board nor a freely floating exchange rate regime is necessarily crisis-free. More important, neither of them offer the potential advantage of a wellmanaged intermediate regime, notably a BBC (basket, band, and crawl) system, of allowing policy to be addressed to limiting exchange rate misalignments. A number of countries with ostensibly floating currencies are revealing by their actions that they prefer an intermediate regime. While such managed floating may be a reasonable compromise given the pressure from the IMF to float, it suffers three potential disadvantages as compared to an articulated BBC regime: it is not transparent, it precludes some types of policy cooperation (such as the use of a common basket peg by a number of countries with strong trade interdependence), and it foregoes the possibility of inducing stabilizing speculation a la Krugman's analysis of target zones. The paper concludes by describing three softer versions of the BBC regime that would be less vulnerable to crises than traditional intermediate regimes: the reference rate proposal, bands with soft margins, and monitoring bands.

Suggested Citation

  • Deabes, Tosson, 2005. "The middle way between flexible and fixed exchange rates," MPRA Paper 1992, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:1992
    as

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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/1992/1/MPRA_paper_1992.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Peter Sochan, 1996. "The Banking System in Ukraine," CASE Network Studies and Analyses 0065, CASE-Center for Social and Economic Research.
    2. Caprio Jr, Gerard & Atiyas, Izak & Hanson, James, 1993. "Financial reform lessons and strategies," Policy Research Working Paper Series 1107, The World Bank.
    3. Mahmoud Mohieldin, 1995. "Causes, Measures and Impact of State Intervention: The Financial Sector and the Egyptian Example," Working Papers 9507, Economic Research Forum, revised 04 Jun 1995.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fixed; BBC regime; Stabilizing analysis; monitoring bands;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance

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