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Būvnozares prognozēšanas modelis un tā izstrādāšanas metodika
[Construction industry forecasting model and it development method]


Author Info

  • Skribans, Valerijs


There has been conducted research on the theme of forecasting in construction industry. Brunch model developing is problem in forecasting. In the paper is worked out influential factor system for construction industry. General part of industry forecasting model is part of demand forecasting. Construction demand consists of governmental, private and enterprises demand. Main idea of paper is that economic growth changes population economic structure. With economic growth population wellbeing increases in all revenue groups, persons move from one revenue group to next more rich. Possibility to estimate population structural changes, population growth, average revenue level of any group gives good quantity in private demand forecasting. Construction branch demand consists of total governmental, private and enterprises demand. This method allows seeing level of demand in different construction markets: private housing, industrial and strategic object building, reconstruction with high quantity.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 16364.

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Date of creation: 2002
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:16364

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Related research

Keywords: business developing; construction economy; dynamic simulation; econometric model; forecasting; market research and analysis;

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Cited by:
  1. Skribans, Valerijs, 2011. "Разработка Модели Системной Динамики Для Энергетического Сектора В Латвии
    [Development of system dynamics model for the energy secto
    ," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany 39251, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  2. Skribans, Valerijs, 2010. "Модель Жилищного Строительства В Постсоциалистических Странах На Примере Латвии
    [Housing model in the post socialistic countri
    ," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany 22229, University Library of Munich, Germany.


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